Screening for Prostate Cancer May Not Reduce Men's Risk of Dying from the Disease, New England VA Study Says

Jan 11, 2006. According to a Veterans' Affairs study published in the January 9 issue of Archives of Internal Medicine, men who died of prostate cancer under VA care in New England in the 1990s included some men who had, since the introduction of the PSA test in 1986, undergone at least one screening for prostate cancer before receiving their diagnosis.

John Concato, M.D., M.P.H., from the Veterans Affairs (VA) Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, and Yale University, New Haven, and colleagues conducted this study to find out whether screening for prostate cancer with prostate specific antigen (PSA) blood test improved the chances of survival for men in the 1990s.

About the same numbers of men treated at the VA for other conditions -- men who did not die of prostate cancer -- also were screened for the disease. Since these men did not die of the disease yet were no more likely to have been screened for it, this study concludes that screening has no effect on prostate cancer survival.

The study

From approximately 72,000 veterans receiving health care at any of 10 VA medical centers in New England, they identified 501 men age 50 years and older who were diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1991 and 1995 and who had died of prostate cancer sometimes between 1991 and 1999.

A comparison group of 501 living men was constructed. Each man in this control group was matched, for age and for treatment at the same center, to a man with prostate cancer who had died.

Medical records were reviewed to determine whether men in either group had ever been screened for prostate cancer.

Seventy -- or 14% -- of the men who had died of prostate cancer had been screened with PSA at least once before their diagnosis. And 65 (13%) of the live men in the control group had been screened.

The authors say that if PSA screening prevented death from prostate cancer, fewer men who died would have received screening compared to the men who were living.

In addition, they say, screening was not found to reduce mortality among men who were younger or healthier or when digital rectal exams were also considered.

According to the authors, screening tests can increase the detection of cancer, even at earlier stages, but not necessarily prolong survival.

"Optimal clinical strategies for diagnosing and treating prostate cancer remain uncertain and in need of additional investigation," they write. "Based on available evidence, including the present study, recommendations regarding screening for prostate cancer should not endorse routine testing of asymptomatic men to reduce mortality. Rather, the uncertainty of screening should be explained to patients in a process of 'verbal informed consent,' promoting informed decision making."

The authors provide no evidence that men who died of prostate cancer in care of the VA in New England in the 1990s despite some pre-diagnosis screening actually had been diagnosed at stages of the disease amenable to cure. They do not establish or discuss whether all screening results had been interpreted correctly. They do not mention whether any of the men who died of prostate cancer fell victim to the well-known syndrome of failure to diagnose.

More detail on how this study was done

A total of 72 909 men who were born before or during 1940 had ambulatory care clinic visits at any of the 10 VA medical centers in New England between 1989 and 1990. Among this population, 1248 men were removed from the study population owing to a diagnosis of prostate cancer before 1991. The final cohort included the remaining 71 661 men, with 14 430 (20.1%) aged 50 to 59 years; 33 360 (46.6%), 60 to 69 years; 20 640 (28.8%), 70 to 79 years; and 3231 (4.5%), 80 years or older.

Among this group, 1425 men were diagnosed as having prostate cancer between 1991 and 1995. Follow-up for mortality through 1999 identified 501 case patients who died. As of January 1, 2000, 5-year overall survival among the 1425 men with prostate cancer was 68%, with a projected median survival of 8.1 years (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.6-9.0 years). For each case patient, a control patient (n = 501) matched for age and site (i.e. VA location) was randomly selected from the cohort.

Median age was 72.5 years. Cases (i.e. men who died of prostate cancer) were more likely to be black (10% vs 4.2% controls), and more likely to have some (vs no) comorbid diseases (72% vs 56%). The median time interval for the screening "window" prior to diagnosis was 24 months; 25% of case patients had evidence of nonlocalized disease at diagnosis and most had tumors with moderate histological differentiation.

In 42 of the 501 cases of men who died, no record was made of the grade of their prostate cancer. PSA's at time of diagnosis are not given in the article. Clinical stage is not recorded except under "non-localized" for one quarter of the patients (125 men).

One out of 5 of the men who died (106 in number) received no initial treatment ("watchful waiting"). For 12 of the men who died, initial treatment is listed as "unkown."

Half the men who died were younger than 72 years. More than half of them had no other serious illness or health condition. Racially, 10% of the men who died of prostate cancer were black.

The odds of dying of any cause was 3 times higher for black men, and their odds of dying of prostate cancer was higher still (4.46 that of white men). prostate cancer were more than 4 times as high for black men. The odds of dying

Source

The Effectiveness of Screening for Prostate Cancer: A Nested Case-Control Study

John Concato, MD, MPH ; Carolyn K. Wells, MPH ; Ralph I. Horwitz, MD ; David Penson, MD ; Graeme Fincke, MD ; Dan R. Berlowitz, MD, MPH ; Gregory Froehlich, MD ; Dawna Blake, MD ; Martyn A. Vickers, MD ; Gerald A. Gehr, MD ; Nabil H. Raheb, MD ; Gail Sullivan, MD, MPH ; Peter Peduzzi, PhD. Arch Intern Med.  2006;166:38-43.

Screening with prostate specific antigen and metastatic prostate cancer risk: a population based case-control study. Kopec JA, et al.

"In this case-control study screening of asymptomatic men with PSA was associated with a significantly reduced risk of metastatic prostate cancer. The results need to be confirmed in randomized controlled trials."
J Urol. 2005 Aug;174(2):495-9; discussion 499.

Related

Prostate Cancer Study by Veterans Affairs Confuses Men, National Prostate Group Says; New Biomarker Needed for Prostate Cancer - but PSA Saves Lives Now Jan 2006

Critique of VA Study of Prostate Cancer Screening by Ralph Valle Jan 11, 2006

The Mammography Dilemma: A Crisis for Evidence-Based Medicine? Steven N. Goodman, MD, MHS, PhD. 3 September 2002

written and edited by J. Strax, January 11 2006.

Information on this website is not intended as medical advice nor to be taken as such. Consult qualified physicians specializing in the treatment of prostate cancer. Neither the editors nor the publisher accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the information or consequences from the use or misuse of the information contained on this website.

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